Archive for the ‘The Island 360’ category

New York Still in Economic Decline – By George J. Marlin

November 14, 2023

The following appeared on Monday, November 13, 2023, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

For years, Progressives have insisted that the rich, particularly Wall Street finance and insurance moguls, would never leave the state regardless of how high tax rates were pushed or the number of regulations imposed on business.

Why?

Because the Big Apple is the nation’s leading financial and cultural hub.

At the present time, it is true that the finance and insurance sectors are the largest portion of New York’s gross domestic product. In 2022, the GDP totaled 16%, or $327 billion. The employees of those two industries are the state’s highest earners. The average income per employee is around $275,000 annually, while the average income of all New Yorkers is approximately $51,000.

But a study released by the New York Business Council refutes Progressive claims.  It determined that the state has been losing wealthy citizens annually, especially Wall Street taxpayers.

“The Report,” the Business Council noted, “emphasizes what we have known all along—bad fiscal and business practices in New York State equate to losing people and jobs.”

And it went on to say: “Those policies are continuing to hurt the [financial and insurance] sectors today as jobs and people leave for a lower tax, lower cost of living states.”

Here’s the report’s key data:

  • In 2021 New York lost $9.8 billion of income to Florida.
  • Over the past three years, $933 billion in investment assets moved to other states.
  • New York is outranked in financial sector growth at 0.2%, lagging behind the 4% national average, while Idaho, North Carolina, and Texas have each seen double-digit growth.

The number of New York taxpayers has also been declining since 2012. In 2021, for example, the state “lost more taxpayers to every other state then it gained from those states.” And guess what? The largest net loss was to Florida, where there is no state income tax or inheritance tax.

As for migration trends, the net migration income in most New York municipalities has been declining every year since 2012.

In other words, higher-income folks who have moved to other states have been replaced by low-income earners.

“Reviewing the net migration of income shows that the largest gross income losses were from New York County at almost $11 billion,” the report said. “The data confirms the flight of the wealthiest from the New York City area.”

The average taxpayer who moved into Manhattan is earning approximately $74,000 less than the wealthier taxpayer who moved out.

Another study released in mid-October by the Tax Foundation confirms the Business Council’s argument that the moving force for the flight of New York’s wealthiest is the overall business climate.

New York came in next to last in the Tax Foundation’s ranking of state business tax climate. New Jersey is the only state that fared worse.

“The truth came into focus,” The Wall Street Journal reported “when the Tax Foundation released its annual ranking of state business tax climate, and there’s a yawning gap between the winners and losers. The best performers ease commerce by foregoing major taxes. The worst stack up punishing rates, making new business much more difficult and costly.”

Other bad news: A University of Toronto analysis revealed that New York City business recovery from COVID continues to lag the nation. The amount of foot traffic in the city’s business district is down 33% compared to pre-COVID statistics.

New York City came in 54th place out of the 66 cities the report surveyed. In contrast, Miami is down only 8%, Atlanta 15%, and Los Angeles is off by 17% in foot traffic.

After reviewing the findings, Catherine Wylde, CEO of the Partnership for the City of New York, told the New York Post, “A lot of our pre-COVID foot traffic involved tourists, and international tourism is still down. We also have by far the densest concentration of office workers, so the hybrid work week has had a big impact here, with average weekly presence in the office [having] dropped from 80% pre-pandemic to just under 60% today.”

Less traffic translates into less consumer spending, declining sales and hotel occupancy tax revenues.

If New York’s elected officials fail to address the state’s tax burden, business climate, cost of living and crime, the state’s motto Excelsior— “Forever Upward” will become Semper Deorsum—“Ever Downward.”

New York’s Economic Development Mess – By George J. Marlin

November 5, 2023

The following appeared on Friday, October 27, 2023, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

Last week I read a disturbing report, “Increasing the Transparency and Accounting of Empire State Development,” issued in July by the fiscal think-tank, Reinvent Albany.

Here’s the study’s finding in a nutshell: “ESD is among the state authorities and agencies most vulnerable to corruption, pay-to-play, and political abuse.

ESD has an amorphous mission that reduces its public accountability, and the board and senior management are completely controlled by the governor and show very few signs of acting independently.

ESD, by design, engages in massive, secretive, sole-source deals totally at odds with basic principles of government spending and procurement that emphasize transparency and competitive bidding.”

Not exactly a ringing endorsement.

For those not familiar with the state’s ESD, here is a little historic background. Back in the 1990s, Gov. George Pataki consolidated a number of state agencies and public authorities under one umbrella called ESD.

These subsidiary organizations include the Department of Economic Development, the Job Development Authority, and the biggest of all, the Urban Development Corporation, a.k.a. the Empire State Development Corporation.

The UDC leviathan has more than 50 active and inactive subsidiaries and more than 40 housing project-related corporations.

Pataki publicly proclaimed that he founded this agglomeration in the name of “efficiency.”

But the reality is that it gave the governor huge power to distribute state subsidies to favored corporations. Since inception, ESD has served business interests before it served the public interests.

A governor rules ESD with an iron fist. Gov. Hochul appoints most of the board members to the various boards—many of them political cronies or contributors.

The governor also “hires and fires the person who is the combined CEO and president of the UDC; … the president, CEO and chair of the Job Development Authority, and the commissioner of the Department of Economic Development. This person also serves as an ex-officio member of the ESD board and has the ability to hire and fire ESD staff …. The board of directors cannot fire the president and CEO of UDC.”

In effect, ESD officers serve at the pleasure of the governor and, as you might guess, they follow the governor’s orders on grants, irrespective of project merits.

As for the board of directors, they act as rubber stamps. “Projects,” the Reinvent Albany report points out, “are initiated by the governor’s office and presented to the board for a perfunctory and performative vote.”

ESD keeps most of the information about projects under cover. They rarely disclose the amount of grants, cost per job, feasibility studies, or evaluations of the progress and success, or failure of projects.

The criteria for supporting a given project is not spelled out or released for public review. It also “engages in sole-source bidding, a non-competitive purchasing process that favors a particular company.”

At the end of 2021, ESD reported it had invested in 4,717 loan, grant and tax benefit projects. Taxpayer dollars expended on the programs, many of which have failed (i.e.: the “Buffalo Billion” deal with Tesla) are in the billions of dollars.

In October 2022, for example, Gov. Hochul and Senator Schumer announced to much fanfare, a deal with Micron to build four chip plants. Subsidies offered to the company total a staggering $5.5 billion.

When the state and Micron were pushed by fiscal watchdogs to explain the methodology for the grant, Reinvent Albany noted, the REMI Inc. study on the economic and fiscal impact ESD provided, “was a post-hoc rationalization for the terms already agreed to buy the aforementioned mention parties.”

As for corruption, readers may recall that two ESD programs have been the subject of federal corruption trials that convicted two of Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s former associates.

The Reinvent Albany report concluded that “the governor and legislature use ESD to oversee misguided and discredited programs and projects they manufacture and … do very little to ensure agency success and effectiveness.”

Quite a mess.

Do you think Albany will do anything about the lack of public accountability?

Don’t hold your breath.

More Strange but True Politics – By George J. Marlin

October 5, 2023

The following appeared on Monday, October 2, 2023, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

Here are the latest strange happenings within New York’s body politic.

A new Siena College public opinion poll indicates 52% of New Yorkers believe the state is going in the wrong direction.

As for New York’s major problems, 83% say it’s the high cost of living, 73% cite crime, and 62% view the influx of migrants as a top issue.

The most interesting finding: 62% of Democrats named crime as a top concern. Yes, the lax law enforcement policies imposed by Progressive Democrats are now infuriating their base. Will radical leftist adherents in Albany take note and rescind the so-called bail reform laws? I doubt it.

While most cities throughout the nation have regained their pre-COVID retail job levels, New York City has not. There are presently 60,000 fewer retail jobs than in 2019.

Steve Malanga, of the Manhattan Institute, has reported that New York City “has lost approximately 675 outlets operated by national chains…the total includes over 100 drugstore close-ups.”

These declines “can be attributed to the triple whammy of COVID shutdown, residents leaving the city and rising social disorder in the wake of Black Lives Matter….”

Another reason for the retail shop crisis: “theft spurred by bail reform and reduced charges for shoplifting.”

Meanwhile, it appears many of New York’s financial giants are taking seriously Gov. Kathy Hochul’s advice to those who disagree with Progressive policies: “…jump on a bus and head down to Florida where you belong.”

More than 150 investment firms that manage over $1 trillion in assets have left since 2019. Most of them have relocated in Florida.

What will be the impact of this exodus? Financial sector income taxes that provide the biggest chunk of the state’s revenue, 22%, will continue to decline and will eventually wreck New York’s tax base.

The far Left’s Service Employees International Local Union 1199, which represents 304,000 healthcare workers and calls for “equality, justice and democracy,” is being accused of hypocrisy.

According to a report in the New York Post, the SEIU, which has over $450 million in assets, has refused “to invest in diverse businesses” and is “selling out underpaid workers.”

The CEO of the National Association of Investment Companies told the paper, “They have very little invested with minority-run investment funds.”  Instead, their money is with big-time Wall Street firms.

The Post quoted one activist, Vicky Niu, as saying, “The union has deeper political ties with insurance companies and healthcare agencies and is completely uninterested in representing workers.”

I’m not in the least surprised. The president of the union, George Gresham, is so taken with himself that he recently told Gov. Hochul, “We don’t work for you—you work for us.”

The average cost per student in New York will top $35,000 this academic year. (The national average is $12,000.)

What is the return on this huge investment? Very little.

The New York Times recently reported that New York reading scores are behind the rest of the nation.

“In large districts like Buffalo, Rochester, and Syracuse, as many as eight in 10 kids fail reading tests; in Gotham, less than half passed,” the newspaper said.

Another major public school problem is “chronic absenteeism,” which is defined as missing a minimum of 10% of the school year, according to the Post.

In New York City the absentee number hit 36% in 2023.

In other words, at least 86,000 students missed 18 or more school days.

While excessive no-shows, according to Department of Education regulations, cannot affect student grades, it most certainly helps explain why the results of standard math and reading tests are dismal.

Here’s another beaut: New York City’s Math and Science Exploratory School, once a center for high achievers, has changed its name to “The Exploratory.”

Why? Because the lower standard for admission, ordered by Mayor Bill de Blasio, has resulted in a major drop in math scores. “While 95% of MS 7th graders scored a passing math grade on end-of-year tests in 2018, only 69% did last year,” the New York Post has reported.

So, instead of restoring standards, the school changed its name to cover up the failure.

And get this: In rationalizing the new name, the principal said, “the old name scared off girls.”

Strange but true folks, strange but true.

AOC is Hopeless Ideologue – By George J. Marlin

September 19, 2023

The following appeared on Monday, September 18, 2023, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez recently posted on her Instagram account a video that claims the inflation talk is “propaganda” promoted by greedy corporations.

That allegation is absurd.

Since Joe Biden took office in January 2021, overall inflation has skyrocketed. It is up 15%.

Dairy products are up 24%, ground beef +21%, roasted coffee +21%, soups + 24%, poultry + 24%, frozen fruits and vegetables +24%, and flour has jumped a staggering 34%.

As for energy costs, diesel fuel is up 64%, home heating oil +63%, gasoline +54%, propane + 25%, natural gas 25% and electricity is up 22%.

As for wages, the Census Bureau reported medium household income, adjusted for inflation, fell last year by $1,750 to $74,580. It is down $3,670 from 2019.

Those are facts, not “propaganda.”

This is not the first time AOC has distorted reality.

In December 2021, AOC claimed that the “smash-and-grab” crime wave was a hoax. She said this despite miles of videotape that police and retailers possess that prove otherwise.

Then there was the time in July 2020 when AOC declared on social media that the surge in crime was due to “hungry people stealing loaves of bread.”

The fact was at that point in time, acts of petty larceny were actually down 7% while murders were up 27%.

When called on her misstatements, the self-righteous AOC said it didn’t matter because she is “morally right,” even if her facts are not.

AOC, a dedicated Democratic-Socialist ideologue, is truly out of touch.

Why? Because if she faced facts, it would contradict her ideology.

Ideology is a much-abused word. Many who bandy about this term are under the mistaken notion that ideology is synonymous with strongly holding philosophical or theological truths. On the contrary, ideology is instead a system of ideas or rigid abstract formulas mixed with scientific jargon and some empirical facts that claims knowledge about reaching perfection in the temporal order.

Ideologies are pseudo-sciences constructed around simple equations concerning man’s complex relationship with the body politic. They are promoted as secularized redemptive creeds to justify or legitimize power grabs.

The art of politics for ideologues, the renown historian Jacob Talmon has noted, “is the application of their formulas to society and the final purpose of politics is only achieved when the ideology reigns supreme over all fields of life.”

Because ideologues believe they are omnipotent, their formulas to manage mankind cannot be challenged regardless of the facts. As a New England transcendentalist once quipped, “if the material facts differ from the truth, so much the worse for the facts.”

While the ideological formulas may vary, the ends are the same: domination. Since ideological formulas are absolute, no dissent is tolerated. For ideologues, the party line is the only line—the total line.

In the case of AOC, she subscribes to the Democratic-Socialist ideology.

Their radical platform calls for a hiring freeze of police and fire officers, the decertification of police unions and associations, the elimination of all misdemeanor offenses, the termination of prison expansion funding, the closing of local jails, the end of police occupation of black and brown communities, and the disarming of policemen.

The Democratic-Socialists want to nationalize water, gas, electric, telecommunications, media, banking, insurance, investment and real estate corporations.

They also want to increase income tax rates, real estate taxes, financial transaction taxes, capital gain taxes, corporate taxes, and to institute wealthy and luxury purchase taxes.

No doubt AOC is convinced that when the tenets of her ideological platform are imposed and are properly administered by Messianic elitists like herself, society will be transformed into a harmonious secular paradise—in other words “Heaven on Earth.”

But anyone with an ounce of common sense knows that AOC’s socialist platform if implemented would only lead to chaos and despair—just as it has in every country that has been governed by analytical creeds that supersede practical experience.

AOC is a hopeless ideologue who so far has talked a lot on Instagram and has accomplished little in the halls of Congress. Be aware, however, she and her confreres will never rest in their quest for absolute power. And they will rationalize most any means to achieve that end.

How the Mighty Giuliani Has Fallen – By George J. Marlin

September 16, 2023

The following appeared on Friday, September 8, 2023, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

Thirty years ago, I was the Conservative Party candidate for New York City mayor running against the incumbent Democrat, David Dinkins, and the Republican-Liberal, Rudolph W. Giuliani.

I ran in 1993 to give voters a conservative choice on Election Day over two liberals.

During the campaign, Giuliani would not appear on the same platform with me. He refused to debate Mayor Dinkins because I was included.

Why was he ducking me? Because Giuliani takes criticism poorly, has trouble laughing at himself and has a short fuse.

His handlers feared a wisecrack from me (and I had plenty of them stored up) might set him off.

Giuliani admitted to columnist Murray Kempton, “Marlin might get under my skin and make me angry.”

Well, Giuliani won, but when he entered City Hall he did not check his character flaws at the front door. Mayor Giuliani thrived on being a mean-spirited, humorless, malicious thug.

By the end of his second term, Giuliani’s obnoxious behavior had taken a toll.  The public had grown weary of his personality, and he became a laughingstock. His separation antics from his second wife was bad soap opera.

Also, when the economy was booming at the end of the 20th century, Giuliani abandoned fiscal restraint and became a big spender.

City budget expenditures jumped 25%—twice the inflation rate. Giuliani left his successor a projected operating deficit of $4.5 billion and New York citizens with the highest tax burden of any major municipality in the nation.

However, all of Giuliani’s flaws were swept under the rug after he displayed outstanding leadership on 9/11.

“America’s Mayor” parlayed his fame into a multimillion-dollar, money-making machine.

He and his third wife spent lavishly. Giuliani’s biographer, Andrew Kirtzman reported that their overhead was $250,000 a month.

Over time the Giuliani aura began to fade.

His campaign to be the Republican nominee for president in 2008 was a disaster. He received only 2% of the vote in the South Carolina primary and dropped out.

Celebrity status and a well-heeled campaign treasury did not guarantee victory. Giuliani spent north of $50 million to win one delegate.

Conservatives did not buy into Giuliani stories of his Damascus Road-like conversion.

Republican consultant Nelson Warfield best described the Giuliani candidacy: “It bordered on science fiction to think that someone as liberal on his many issues as Rudy Giuliani could become the Republican nominee. Rudy didn’t even care enough about conservatives to lie to us. The problem wasn’t the calendar—it was the candidate.”

While Wall Street and Country Club Republicans control campaign money, Giuliani’s failed candidacy proved that socially conservative Main Street and Walmart Republicans control the outcome of primaries.

In recent years Giuliani’s income declined and his third divorce cost him plenty.

A desperate Giuliani foolishly thought an alliance with President Trump would restore his fame and his fortune.

That marriage of convenience was a disaster. Trump treated Giuliani like a servant and stiffed him on legal fees.

And taking center stage in the 2020 post-election follies resulted in Giuliani’s law license being suspended and his criminal indictment in the Georgia election conspiracy case.

Ironically, the RICO law Giuliani abused to make his name as a big-time federal prosecutor in the 1980s, was used by the Atlanta DA to nail him.

Desperate for cash to start paying off the $3 million he owes his white-collar criminal lawyer, Giuliani was forced to put his Manhattan apartment up for sale in August.

To add insult to injury, a legal defense fund website set up by Giuliani friends to raise $5 million was taken down after raising less than $10,000.

Giuliani’s narcissistic need to be in the spotlight has destroyed his reputation and his legacy. Now, he will be remembered for hair dye running down his face and his Georgia jail house mugshot.

Awfully sad, don’t you think?