Archive for the ‘The Island 360’ category

Albany’s Wasteful Tax Breaks – By George J. Marlin

February 19, 2024

The following appeared on Monday, February 19, 2024, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

Since the turn of the century, New York has granted huge tax cuts on in-state movie and TV production—a cause favored by media companies, studio owners, producers and movie labor.

Here’s a list of the tax credit programs which are targeted at the entertainment industry and the year they were enacted:

  • Empire State Film Production Tax Credit (2004)
  • Empire State Film Post – Production Tax Credit (2010)
  • NYS [TV]Commercial Tax Credit (2007)
  • Empire State Musical and Theatrical Tax Credit (2015)
  • NYC Musical and Theatrical Tax Credit (2021)

These enormously generous programs have cost taxpayers a whopping $7 billion in subsidies since 2004. In effect, taxpayers have picked up the tab for “30% of qualified production costs for movies and TV shows made in the Empire State.”

When the tax credits were first proposed in the state Legislature, advocates argued that Connecticut and Louisiana and other states had lowered taxes on movie production and were stealing business from the Empire State.  Leading Hollywood types explained that while they loved New York State, movie production is a business and they have to focus on the bottom line.

The question now is: Are taxpayers getting a return on these giveaways to the entertainment industry?

Well, the good news is Section 108, Article 8, of the New York State Tax Law requires the Department of Taxation and Finance to hire an outside expert to conduct a “comprehensive analysis of each tax credit, tax deduction, and tax incentive under New York tax law that relates to increasing economic development” to determine the effectiveness of these programs

Such a report on the entertainment industry, performed by the investment advisory firm PFM Group, was posted without any fanfare on the Finance and Tax Department website in January.

And taxpayers should be grateful that E.J. McMahon, of the Empire Center think tank in Albany, picked up on the 360-page analysis and revealed its dismal findings.

Here’s a summary of PFM’s study prepared by the Empire Center:

  • The Film Production credit “does not provide a positive return to the state.”
  • “It is highly likely…that much of the economic activity [attributed to the tax credit] would occur without it.”
  • Television and movie production would have happened regardless of the tax breaks because of New York’s “prominence in U.S. culture.”
  • The jobs subsidized by the credit are “high paying” and thus create “enduring value,” but “it is likely that the production credit will never ‘go away’ in the sense of leaving behind a stable, job growth industry absent the credit.”

“Based on objective weighing of the cost and benefits,” PFM concluded, “the film production credit is at best a break-even proposition and more likely a net cost to New York State.”

However, these failed tax breaks, E.J. McMahon warned, “are likely to be ignored by the Hochul administration and the Legislature’s Democratic super majorities. The taxpayer giveaway to Hollywood East enjoys strong support from a politically powerful, deep-pocketed constellation of producers, actors, labor unions, and real estate interests enriched by the subsidy.”

In my judgment, the government should abolish such companies’ specific economic subsidy programs and use the cash freed up to lower the cost of doing business in the state for all businesses—cut the corporate income tax, lower the cost of Workers’ Comp and reform the Wicks Law, which prohibits the government from using general contractors and thereby inflating construction costs.

The state should stop trying to guess which industries and companies will be winners and losers; it isn’t good at making those calls. The entertainment industry should make decisions on its own after the government performs its proper role of creating a business environment conducive to investment and job creation and providing the transportation and other infrastructure necessary for the state to compete.

The MTA Mess – George J. Marlin

February 5, 2024

The following appeared on Monday, February 5, 2024, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

The MTA is a mess. It is plagued by incompetent management, never-ending project cost overruns, declining services and ridership, crumbling infrastructure, sweetheart union deals, and rampant fare and toll evasion.

One year ago, for example, the governor, local pols, and MTA bigwigs gave themselves high-fives at the opening of the new Grand Central Madison station.  They boasted they did a great job building that marvel of engineering.

What they failed to mention was that the plan to route LIRR commuter trains into Grand Central was approved in 2001 and was to be completed in 2009 at a cost of $4.3 billion.

But, thanks to MTA ineptness, the project was completed 13 years late and cost a staggering $13 billion.

The bungling of capital projects is not unusual for the MTA.

Take the construction of the Second Avenue subway. On the drawing board since 1929, it was finally announced in 2004 that a piece of the plan, 8.5 miles of track with 16 stations, would be completed by 2020.

Thirteen years later, after spending $4.6 billion, the MTA opened, to much hoopla, only 1.5 miles of the subway line. The construction cost more than four times as much as similar new lines in Amsterdam, Berlin, Paris, and Tokyo.

Another problem that impairs the MTA’s bottom line: fare and toll evaders.

The MTA has admitted that subway fare evasion (i.e.: people jumping over turnstiles) cost the agency $690 million in 2022. While the numbers for 2023 are not yet available, the MTA revealed that in the second quarter of 2023, 11% of commuters did not pay, and in the third quarter it jumped to 14%. The MTA expects the total 2023 figure will top $700 million.

What was the MTA solution to curtail turnstile evaders? New subway station “Fare Beater Gates”—that are not working as intended.

MTA Chairman Janno Lieber, after conceding that there are flaws in the gates installed at three stations, said, “We might, in retrospect, have chosen a different model.”

How lame is that?

Then there are the bridge and tunnel toll evaders.  Newsday has reported that “drivers hid, obstructed, or otherwise faked the recording of plates to sneak out of paying 224,000 tolls per month last year at MTA crossings.”

To offset huge cost overruns, rampant fair and toll evasion losses, the MTA’s Hail Mary pass to raise additional funds for much-needed improvements: congestion pricing.

Congestion pricing, which is scheduled to commence later this year, was not approved to help the environment. It was created to collect lots of money. The last thing the MTA wants is less traffic in Midtown Manhattan.

It is projected that the MTA will collect from drivers entering Manhattan south of 60th Street at least $1 billion annually. (A study released by Congressman Josh Gottheimer claims the take could hit $3 billion.)

A billion dollars in annual collections can pay principal and interest on about $15 billion in long-term borrowing.

And that money is sorely needed to maintain and upgrade the transit system, let alone finance boondoggles like the Second Avenue subway.

A report, released by Comptroller Tom DiNapoli on February 1, 2024, “estimates repairs needed from 2025 through 2029, the period covering the MTA’s next capital program, to be released later this year, will cost at least $43 billion, not including the expansion and new priorities to address accessibility, resiliency, and sustainability.”

The report concluded: “With the urgent need to increase ridership, boost revenue, and secure its future, the MTA cannot afford delays in upgrades and repairs that will improve the transit system.”

Wishful thinking? Considering the MTA’s dismal record, I’m not optimistic the agency has the ability to address the comptroller’s recommendations in a timely or financially responsible fashion.

Ultimately, it is the commuters who will bear the brunt of the MTA’s incompetence. They will have to pay higher tolls and fares to endure worsening services, increasing transit delays and deteriorating infrastructure.

New York’s Days of Wine and Roses are Over – By George J. Marlin

January 23, 2024

The following appeared on Monday, January 22, 2024, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

In his first annual State of the State address to the Legislature on January 7, 1975, Governor Hugh Carey said, “In the very simplest of terms, this government and we as a people have been living far beyond our means.”

He went on to say that “now the times of Plenty, the Days of Wine and Roses, are over. We were in the lead car of the roller coaster going up and we are in the lead car coming down. So, we must first recognize the immediate burdens we inherit. There is responsibility enough to go around for all. But if we would master our fate, we must first acknowledge our condition.”

Carey went on to master the fate of New York and saved the state from insolvency and the City of New York and the Urban Development Corporation from bankruptcy.

Fifty years later, the question is will Gov. Hochul have the mettle, like Carey, to say, “the days of wine and roses are over” and to master the fate of the state by bringing government spending in line with reality?

In her January 8 State of the State address, Hochul appeared to acknowledge the state’s deteriorating fiscal and social conditions.

Unlike previous years, she did not promise huge increases in spending to placate every left-wing interest group. She even made this admission: “I can actually understand why some people feel the sun is setting on the Empire State.”

The governor noted that tens of thousands have been exiting New York to live in states that happen to have lower taxes, cheaper housing and better job opportunities.

To curb the outflow, Hochul promised to protect taxpayers’ “hard-earned money from politicians who want to raise your taxes.”

That’s an incredible statement from a governor who has surrendered time and again to tax-and-spend legislators.

Next, the governor conceded that the crime issue is real and not merely a talking point of her 2022 Republican opponent, Lee Zeldin.

“Safety at the grocery store, the synagogue, the subway,” Hochul said, “is always top of the mind.” Thieves who “brazenly tear items off shelves and menace employees,” she admitted, “are not only driving many out of business [but] these attacks are nothing less than a breakdown in the social order.”

Hochul added, “I say: no more! The chaos must end…Let’s back our businesses and workers with the full force of the law and punish those who think they can break the rules with impunity.”

My goodness. The tough-talking Hochul sounds like a MAGA Republican.

But will she follow through by fighting to repeal the lax bail and discovery laws that permit offenders to continue roaming the streets? That remains to be seen.

One subject she failed to address—the sanctuary city crisis. In New York City, Mayor Eric Adams has spent over $2.5 billion this past year to service migrants. And he projects spending more than $11 billion during the next two fiscal years. Such spending is not sustainable. The city’s declining tax base cannot absorb these costs without dramatic cuts in essential services.

To manage this glaring omission, the governor’s damage control squad said the issue would be dealt with in the state budget that was subsequently released January 16.

The $233 billion proposed budget increases spending by a modest $3.7 billion. Despite projected deficits over the next three years totaling $15 billion, there are no spending cuts. The governor could not find one dime of wasteful spending.

As for migrant aid, the city will receive $2.4 billion. Focusing on the issue, Hochul rightly noted “companies won’t do business in New York if there are thousands of people sleeping on the streets or the quality of life is dramatically impacted because the city is forced to cut essential services. We must support the City of New York in this moment to avoid these disastrous effects and to protect our economy and state revenues in the short-term and the long-term as well.”

Defending her budget, Hochul said, “we can’t spend like there’s no tomorrow because tomorrow always comes.”

That’s all well and good. However, Hochul’s real test will be whether she restrains radical legislators who have called for a $40 billion tax increase to fund their spending schemes.

I hope she has the mettle to do so.

Long Island’s 2023 Political Winners and Losers – By George J. Marlin

December 23, 2023

The following appeared on Thursday, December 21, 2023, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

Here’s my take on this year’s winners and losers in the game of politics.

Winners:

Joe Cairo:  Nassau’s Republican Party chairman can take a deep bow. Although Democrats have a registration edge, Cairo’s well-organized ground game, once again, brought out on Election Day more Republicans than Democrats (32.2% versus 23.6%).

Cairo’s red waves elected a county executive in 2021 and this year reelected supervisors in the three townships. The GOP maintained its county Legislative majority and picked up town and city council seats.

Ed Romaine:  The long-term Republican Brookhaven town supervisor won the race for Suffolk County Executive in a landslide, receiving 58% of the vote. He is the first Republican elected to the post since 1999. Romaine, at age 76, is expected to serve only one term. This means he’s beholden to no one and could govern judiciously.

Jennifer DeSena:  Two years ago, Republican DeSena shocked the establishment when she narrowly won the township supervisor job in the Democratic bastion of North Hempstead. Cocky Democrats believes she would be a one-term wonder.

But, lo and behold, despite big bucks spent by her opponent, DeSena waltzed to a second term with 55% of the vote.  And she had coattails. Republican Mary Jo Collins was elected Receiver of Taxes and the GOP picked may have picked up a town council seat.

Tom DiNapoli:  The state Comptroller continues to be a fearless defender of the taxpayers’ money. Hopefully, his critiques of the declining fiscal conditions of the state and city of New York will serve as a wake-up call for Gov. Hochul and Mayor Eric Adams. But don’t bet on it.

LOSERS:

George Santos:  He was finally expelled from Congress on December 1. In my 50+ years as a political activist, the federally indicted Santos is the worst public liar I have ever come across.

He lied about his education, employment, wealth, and ethnic background. The shameless Santos lied about having a Jewish grandmother who was a victim of the Holocaust and a mother who died of cancer. He used campaign funds to finance a ritzy lifestyle. He spent thousands of contribution dollars at Ferragamo, Hermes, and Sephora. Good riddance.

Jay Jacobs:  Nassau Democratic Party chairman has presided over the electoral demise of his party. Since 2021, Democrats have lost congressional seats, state senate seats, the county executive office, and both the North Hempstead and Hempstead supervisor posts. Thanks to Jacobs’ insouciant leadership, Republicans now control every township and municipality in the county.

Jon Kaiman: His attempt at a political comeback was a major flop. North Hempstead supervisor Jennifer DeSena beat him handily.

Kaiman even lost his home turf of Great Neck. Kaiman has now been rejected by voters three times in a row, including twice by Democrats in congressional primaries. Maybe, just maybe, he will finally get the message that the public is through with him.

NIFA:  The stature of the Nassau Interim Finance Authority has taken a hit with the appointment of Richie Kessel as its chairman by Gov. Hochul. As Newsday pointed out, Kessel received the appointment “despite political scandals, including criticism that he misused funds at LIPA and NIPA prompting his resignation from NYPA in 2011.”

George Maragos:  The one-time Republican Comptroller of Nassau County went down in flames in his race for mayor of the City of Glen Cove.

Running as the Democratic candidate, he was pummeled by incumbent Republican Pamela Panzenbeck, who received 62.6% of the vote. Readers may recall that Maragos switched parties to run for county executive in 2017 and was handily beaten in the Democratic primary by Laura Curran. Maragos, a political empty suit, may finally learn that being rich does not entitle him to hold elective office.

Joshua Alexander Lafazan:  Last year, Lafazan lost his bid to be the Democratic nominee for congress in the 2nd CD. This year, he lost his seat in the County Legislature to Samantha Goetz, who beat him 57.8% to 42.2%. My guess is Lafazan’s presidential ambitions have been put on hold.

Books for political junkies this Christmas – By George J. Marlin

December 14, 2023

The following appeared on Monday, December 11, 2023, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

For folks who give books at Christmas to political junkie friends and relatives, here are my 2023 gift book picks.

Where Have All the Democrats Gone by John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira. The authors, noted liberal political analysts, who predicted in 2002 an emerging Democratic majority that would have a long-term lock on the Electoral College, concede that their expectations did not come to pass. Their explanation: “Democrats have steadily lost the allegiance of everyday Americans—working and middle-class voters—that were the core of the older New Deal coalition.”

They persuasively argue that radical leftist and globalist elites who dominate the party, have been advocating economic and social positions that have driven working-class voters into the arms of the Republicans.

This book should be read by Nassau and Suffolk County Democratic leaders interested in understanding why Long Island has been hit with Election Day red waves in 2022 and 2023.

The Year That Broke Politics: Collusion and Chaos in the Presidential Election of 1968 by Luke A. Nichter.  This book is a much-needed update on the 1968 making of a president.

The events of 1968 were earth-shattering: A little known U.S. senator, Gene McCarthy, drove President Lyndon Johnson to announce his retirement. The assassinations of Martin Luther King and Sen. Robert F. Kennedy shook the very core of the nation. And the man written off as a loser, Richard Nixon made one of the greatest comebacks in presidential history.

Nichter, a professor of history at Chapman University, attempts to “rebalance the scales of history” based on documents that have become available in recent years. He rejects “the Democratic consensus … that Nixon stole the 1968 election by committing treason and violating the Logan Act.” And he rejects the “Republican consensus … that Johnson, by creating the illusion of a sudden change in the status of the [Vietnam] War, made a last-minute effort to steal the election for Humphrey, which failed.”

America’s Cultural Revolution: How the Radical Left Conquered Everything by Christopher F. Rufo.  To understand why conservatives have been losing the war for America’s cultural soul, Rufo’s book is a must read.

Since the 1960s, hardcore leftists have been executing plans to silence, marginalize, and suppress dissent—all in the name of tolerance. The intellectual founder of this ideological movement was the Marxist Herbert Marcuse (1898-1979).

Marcuse, a longtime professor at the University of California in San Diego, called for “the complete disintegration of existing society, beginning with a revolt in the universities and the ghettos” and the eventual capturing of “public institutions and the cultural repression of the opposition.”

His heirs encouraged followers to invade the university system and conquer its administration and academic departments.

The results: Graduates brainwashed by radical ideology professors have been invading all aspects of American life. In just about every field, conservatives have been steamrolled by left-wing culture warriors.

Before conservatives go on an offensive, they should get to know the enemy by studying Rufo’s extraordinary work.

Orwell: The New Life by D.J. Taylor. George Orwell, the author of Animal Farm and 1984, is the subject of an updated biography by his finest chronicler. Utilizing previously unknown sources, Taylor not only examines Orwell “in the context of his time but sees him through the exacting prism of the 21st Century.”

Taylor contends that Orwell “is not merely a popular writer … he is someone who has quarried his way down into the heart of the human condition and, by doing so, managed to colonize the mental world both of his own age and the ones that followed.”

The Dillon Era: Douglas Dillon in the Eisenhower, Kennedy, and Johnson Administrations by Richard Aldous. One of the unsung heroes of the 1950s and 1960s is C. Douglas Dillon. The heir of the investment firm Dillon Read, he gave up Wall Street for public service.

He served admirably in the Eisenhower administration as ambassador to France and later as the state department’s second-in-command.

The political world was shocked when President Kennedy chose Dillon to be secretary of the Treasury. It was Dillon who convinced JFK to push for significant tax cuts to jump-start a lackluster economy. And during the Cuban Missile Crisis, he was a major voice in the decision-making process.

Dillon was a commanding figure, a true gentleman, noted for being calm, measured, and understated. We need more of his type in Washington.

Happy reading in 2024!