Archive for the ‘The Island 360’ category

Summer 2024 Reading for Political Junkies – By George J. Marlin

July 9, 2024

The following appeared on Monday, July 8, 2024, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

Here are books I recommend political junkies read while vacationing:

The World That Wasn’t: Henry Wallace and the Fate of the American Century by Ben Steil.

At the 1944 Democratic Convention that renominated Franklin Roosevelt for a fourth term, party bosses had the good sense to convince the ailing president to dump his vice president, Henry Wallace, in favor of Sen. Harry Truman.

Steil, in his meticulously researched work, argues it was a good decision because Wallace was a dupe of Stalin and was surrounded by Soviet agents and assets.

As vice president, Wallace “toured a Potemkin Siberia, guided by undercover Soviet security and intelligence officials who hid labor camps and concealed prisoners.  He then wrote a book together with an American NKGB source hailing the region’s renaissance under Bolshevik leadership…Running for president in 1948, he colluded with Stalin to undermine his government’s foreign policy, allowing the dictator to edit his most important election speech.”

Hats off to old-time political bosses.

Ascent To Power: How Truman Emerged from Roosevelt’s Shadow and Remade the World by David L. Roll.

Roll, the author of the best one-volume biography of General George C. Marshall, vividly describes why FDR made the right choice of Truman at the 1944 convention.

After serving only 82 days as VP, Truman inherited the office of president totally unprepared by his predecessor. Roll’s work, which covers the years 1944 to 1948, describes Truman’s struggles to emerge as a president in his own right.

“Yet, from a relatively unknown Missouri senator to the most powerful man on Earth,” Roll concludes, Truman’s legacy transcends his “come-from-behind campaign in the fall of 1948, his courageous civil rights advocacy, and his role in liberating millions from militarist governments and brutal occupations, [his] decisions during these pivotal years changed the course of the world in ways so significant we live with them today.”

True Believer: Hubert Humphrey’s Quest for a More Just America by James Traub.

This is a fine, readable biography of a truly decent man, and one of the last genuine 20th century liberals.

“For Humphrey, as for such writers and thinkers as Arthur Schlesinger, Jr., Reinhold Niebuhr, and Lionel Trilling, liberalism meant faith in the individual, openness to debate, optimism about man’s prospects….” Humphrey also understood that to govern one had to seek consensus by compromising.

In the 1960s, Humphrey was a victim of the budding New Left’s radical orthodoxy that now dominates the Democratic Party.

Mansfield and Dirksen: Bipartisan Giants of the Senate by Marc C. Johnson.

Yes, there was indeed a time in our own recent history when members of both political parties believed it their duty to govern. In the late 1950s and early 1960s, senators rose above ideological and geographical differences and reached bipartisan consensus on the pressing issues of the day.

The story of that era is described in historian Mark Johnson’s excellent new book.

During the Kennedy and Johnson administrations, the flamboyant Republican leader, Sen. Everett McKinley Dirksen of Illinois, and the mild-mannered Democratic Majority Leader, Sen. Michael Mansfield of Montana, worked together to pass legislation including civil and voting rights laws and Medicaid.

Dirksen was no pushover. In negotiations, he made it clear what it would take his GOP caucus to sign on to bills. Mansfield, knowing that to pass landmark legislation he needed overwhelming GOP support, often ceded to Dirksen’s needs and publicly gave him credit.

If Republicans should win control of Congress this fall, I recommend they read Johnson’s book to learn how to govern.

Morning After the Revolution: Dispatches from the Wrong Side of History by Nellie Bowles.

Bowles, a journalist at The New Press, is a committed Progressive. But during COVID-19, when the Black Lives Matter movement blossomed on the political landscape, she began to sense a significant change on the left. Old-time liberals were being washed away by the New Progressives whose politics were “built on the idea that people are profoundly good, denatured only by capitalism, by colonialism, and whiteness and heteronormativity.” The New Progressives, she concluded, “were leading a political movement that went mad.”

Readers will find Bowles work, which is a collection of dispatches on the ideological excesses of the New Progressives, painful, comical, and insightful.

Happy summer reading.

Dr. Fauci’s Pseudo Science – By George J. Marlin

June 25, 2024

The following appeared on Monday, June 25, 2024, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

Throughout the COVID lockdown, Dr. Anthony Fauci and his associates at the National Institute of Health, in the name of science, dictated how we were to conduct our lives.

Their public utterances were infallible and had to be accepted ex cathedra.

Members of the medical profession who dared to disagree with a Fauci diagnosis or interpretation of data were publicly shamed as cranks spreading disinformation. They were excommunicated from the fellowship of scientists because they were incorrigible sinners.

The term “science” means experiment and observation. It is concerned with the nature of things, not in its abstract form, but in its observable and material appearance. Conclusions reached by scientists after analyzing accumulated data are always contingent. In other words, a scientist interpreting data cannot lay claim to the absolute certitude of his conclusions. The most scientists can say is “as far as we know….”

But during COVID, Fauci spoke in absolute terms when imposing restrictions on Americans.

However, with COVID behind us, the truth about the crisis is finally coming out, and those findings are dimming the aura that has surrounded Dr. Fauci.

On Sunday, June 9, The New York Times ran two major pieces under the umbrella title “Can we finally have an honest conversation about COVID?” It is fascinating reading but received little attention from the mainstream media.

Dr. Alina Chan, a molecular biologist at Harvard and MIT, writes in her piece “Why COVID Probably Started In a Lab”: “Although how the pandemic started has been hotly debated, a growing volume of evidence—gleaned from public records released under the Freedom of Information Act, digital sleuthing through online databases, scientific papers analyzing the virus and its spread, and leaks from within the U.S. government—suggests that the pandemic most likely occurred because a virus escaped from a research lab in Wuhan, China.”

Dr. Chan’s lengthy analysis points out that at the “Wuhan Institute of Virology, a team of scientists had been hunting for SARS-like viruses for over a decade … [and] the year before the outbreak, the Wuhan Institute, working with U.S. partners, had proposed creating viruses with SARS-CoV-2’s defining feature.”

She adds, “…the Wuhan lab pursued this type of work under low biosafety conditions that could not have contained an airborne virus as infectious as SARS-CoV-2.”

The doctor concludes, “…the hypothesis that COVID-19 came from an animal at the Huanan Seafood Market in Wuhan is not supported by strong evidence.”

Dr. Chan asks for a “credible investigation [that] would deter future acts of negligence and deceit by demonstrating that it is indeed possible to be held accountable for causing a viral pandemic.” And she calls on Dr. Fauci to cooperate with the investigation.

Sadly, despite all the evidence, the New York Post has reported, Dr. Fauci, in his forthcoming “tell all” memoir, continues to insist that talk about a lab leak in Wuhan is a conspiracy theory that generated smear campaigns.

In the companion essay, Times columnist, Zeynep Tufekci, concedes “Big chunks of the history of the Covid pandemic were rewritten over the last month or so in a way that will have terrible consequences for many years to come.”

Under questioning of Dr. Fauci, at a congressional subcommittee hearing, Americans learned “that some key parts of the public health guidance… during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, were not backed up by solid science. What’s more, inconvenient information was kept from the public suppressed, denied or disparaged as crackpot nonsense.”

Studies did not support the six-foot apart mandate, or that the virus was spread by droplets, or that schools and businesses had to be closed. “Officials did not just spread these dubious ideas, they also demeaned anyone who dared to question them.”

And then there was the cover-up. A senior National Health Institute doctor, for example, deleted emails to avoid public oversight.

“Delays, falsehoods, and misrepresentations,” Tufekci concludes, “had terrible real-time effects on the lives of Americans.”

As for the long-term impact: “Public Health officials squandered our faith in them for not being transparent.”

Pretty powerful stuff for the left-wing Times.

To begin the long road of redemption, Dr. Fauci and his confreres should confess they are not omniscient and God-like, ask for forgiveness, and publicly proclaim “mea culpa, mea maximus culpa”—”through my fault, through my most grievous fault.”

Gov. Hochul Surrenders – By George J. Marlin

June 10, 2024

The following appeared on Monday, June 10, 2024, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

Well, well, well—Gov. Kathy Hochul has thrown in the towel on congestion pricing.

Hochul, who has proclaimed she is the Green Movement’s champion, who wants to take away our gas-run stoves, heating systems, and automobiles, has succumbed to pressure from Democratic pols (fearing voter backlash) and municipal and private sector unions.

I am not at all surprised by her announcement to suspend the congestion toll that was slated to commence on June 30.

Face it, Hochul has been a political chameleon throughout her public career. There was a time when she not only sought and accepted the nomination of the Conservative Party in one of her Western New York races but embraced the National Rifle Association as a candidate for Congress.

Let’s review the events surrounding the MTA’s congestion pricing program that caused Hochul to flip.

First there was the sticker shock. Passenger vehicles driving south of 60th Street in Manhattan at peak hours would pay $15; unit trucks $24; multi-unit trucks $36; buses $24; licensed sightseeing buses $36; and motorcycles $7.

Those huge charges upset the business, trucking, union, and political communities.

Local servicing companies from the outer boroughs announced they would pass down the toll costs to their Manhattan business customers. Business owners, in turn, intended to pass the added expense on to their retail customers. So, working-class folks would be stuck picking up the tab for the MTA’s latest financial scheme.

Next, there was a barrage of lawsuits filed in federal and state courts aimed at derailing the program.

After Albany rejected in April a plan to exempt government workers, nurses and first responders from having to pay the toll, a coalition of labor unions representing 400,000 municipal workers joined a suit filed earlier by the United Federation of Teachers.

“The congestion toll is just another crazy thing in the city,” said Harry Nespoli, boss of the City Municipal Labor Committee. “No one likes going into our pocket when we’re mandated to come in. These are the people who make the city run.”

There was, however, one ludicrous suit, filed by New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy, claiming the toll discriminated against New Jersey residents.

He appears to have forgotten that New Yorkers have been supporting for decades the Port Authority’s top money-losing transportation projects that cater to Jersey residents: the PATH subway and the 42nd Street bus terminal.

To cover those deficits, which total hundreds of millions of dollars annually, the PA expends tolls paid by New Yorkers and profits from LaGuardia and JFK airports.

To me, that’s very expensive interstate discrimination.

When announcing the halt, Hochul said she “cannot add another burden to working-class New Yorkers or create another obstacle to our continued economic recovery.” But she was disingenuous. The very next day, the New York Post reported “Gov. Hochul is pushing a New York City tax hike to replace the $15 congestion tolls she indefinitely postponed.”

As for the furious enviros who are weeping and moaning that they were betrayed, they will get over it. That constituency has nowhere to go. They are not going to suddenly embrace the Republican and Conservative parties to spite the Democrats.

What the green crowd has failed to grasp is that congestion pricing was the MTA’s “Hail Mary” pass to raise money—not to help the environment.

The MTA hoped to raise at least $1 billion a year from congestion tolls to finance $15 billion in long-term borrowing for capital projects. Ergo, the last thing the MTA would want is a decline in Midtown Manhattan traffic.

If Hochul really wants to salvage the MTA’s finances, she should consider shaking up the agency.

The management has been incompetent for years. It has been responsible for a bloated $7.8 billion payroll, egregious overtime that cost $1.37 billion last year, fare evasions to the tune of $750 million annually, and tens of billions of dollars in cost overruns to build the Long Island Rail Road extension to Grand Central Station, the Second Avenue subway, and the No. 7 train station to 10th Avenue.

Will Gov. Hochul have the grit to take on the MTA bureaucrats, the mass transportation public employee unions and the construction unions? I doubt it.

Instead of sticking it to the Power Brokers, I expect Hochul will stick the costs of the MTA’s fiscal follies to the most vulnerable—the commuters.

DiNapoli’s State Budget Analysis – By George J. Marlin

May 28, 2024

The following appeared on Monday, May 27, 2024, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

My last two columns were devoted to scrutinizing the state’s unsustainable and irresponsible $237 billion tax-and-spend budget that projects a structural deficit of at least $16 billion.

On May 17, state Comptroller Tom DiNapoli released his analysis of New York’s Fiscal Year 2024-2025, which not only confirms some of my observations but raises additional concerns.

“At the state level,” DiNapoli explained, “certain revenue streams that have been critical to maintaining budget balance are either scheduled to expire or to be depleted in the years ahead, including temporary higher Personal Income Tax, Corporate Franchise Tax rates, and one-time COVID-19 financial assistance from the federal government.”

When these revenue streams dry up, the comptroller concluded, “Current spending levels will be difficult to sustain.”

No surprises there. However, it’s a sure bet leftists in Albany will extend the PIT and franchise taxes—they rarely let temporary taxes expire.  But dried-up COVID money hurts.  It will only pump up the structural deficit.

The next red flag: “All Funds” revenues are projected to decline by $7.3 billion. “This decrease is primarily attributable to projected reductions in investment and gaming receipts. In addition, receipts from the American Rescue Plan are expected to be depleted.

Growth in PIT, which is three-quarters of total tax revenue, is projected to grow a mere 1%.

DiNapoli goes on to warn that the state’s financial plan is too reliant on a “volatile PIT that depends on a small number of filers.”

Sound familiar? I have been preaching that for years in On the Right columns.

For taxpayer year 2021, DiNapoli noted, “Those with incomes over $1,000,000 comprised 1.6% of the PIT filers but paid 44.5% of the total PIT liability.”

And since 2021, a significant number of that 1.6% of PIT filers have moved to—a drum roll please—Florida. (A newly released Census Bureau report indicated that between 2020 and 2023, the Empire State lost 561,164 residents.)

As for “rainy day” reserve funds: “Despite greater revenues than originally anticipated by the Department of Budget, no additional deposits were made to the statutory reserves in 2023-2024,” the comptroller said. Instead, so-called “reserve” funds are being deposited in informal reserves, such as the “Economic Uncertainties Fund” that can be used by the executive for any appropriated purpose, without requirements for replenishment.”

In other words, the “Economic Uncertainties Fund” is the governor’s personal slush fund to spend at any time on favored projects.

To give the appearance of “containing costs” in Medicaid, the state is utilizing fiscal sleight of hand tactics that go back to the days when Nelson Rockefeller was governor. The state deferred Medicaid payments “across state fiscal years, pushing $1.4 billion that was due to be paid in March 2024 to April 2024,” according to the analysis.

The comptroller also pointed out that the governor’s budget continues to utilize “back door” borrowing to fund capital spending.

To avoid voter rejection of new borrowing on Election Day, billions of new debt will be issued by public authorities, “further adding to the state’s already high debt burden and utilizing limited remaining capacity under the state’s debt cap,” Di Napoli said.

Then there is the lack of transparency and oversight: “In the enacted budget, at least $367.6 million is exempt from the Office of Comptroller’s oversight and normal competitive procurement requirements. An additional $1.5 billion is exempt from normal competitive procurement requirements; and another $1.9 billion may allow funds to be distributed at the discretion of the Executive/DOB without following the normal competitive requirements,” the report said.

Apparently, the governor does not want the state comptroller’s independent pre-review of contracts, which “serves as an important deterrent to waste, fraud and abuse,” to reward cronies and contributors.

There’s more: “The budget continues to include problematic provisions with respect to accounting standards that have the potential to distort the appearance of reported receipts, disbursements, and liabilities, and obscure the picture of true spending growth,” according to the report.

Once again, the governor and her pals in the state Legislature are abusing power and are overspending. And the only people that will be punished for their shenanigans will be the taxpayers.

Gov. Hochul’s ‘Big Ugly’ Budget – By George J. Marlin

May 17, 2024

The following appeared on Monday, May 13, 2024, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

In my last column, I noted that Gov. Hochul’s $237 billion spending plan—which is up 35% since 2019—is unsustainable due to anemic economic growth.

The state’s economy, which grew by only 0.7% last year vs. 2.5% nationally, is not expected to grow much this year and the state’s monstrous $16 billion structural deficit will escalate.

Adding to the bleak economic picture is the never-ending exodus of Wall Street firms to Florida, which unlike New York does not have a state income tax or estate tax.

The New York Post reported May 8 that “160 Wall Street firms have moved out of the Big Apple in recent years—56 of which took their business to Florida, sucking a whopping $1 trillion in financial assets under management out of Manhattan.” That shift, according to Bloomberg News, “has paved the way for a ‘Wall Street South.’”

Financial moguls who ditched New York included Carl Ichan and hedge fund giant Paul Singer of Elliott Management.

While New York’s commercial real estate 20% vacancy rate is at an all-time high, Florida’s office rentals are booming, particularly in Palm Beach, West Palm Beach, and Boca Raton.

If the wealthiest continue to rush to the exit doors, New York’s income tax collection will take a major hit. Why?  Because 1% of households—76,000 out of 7,600,000—pay nearly 50% of the state’s total income tax revenue.

Think about it. If another 10,000 to 15,000 of those households move out in the next couple of years, New York will be in even deeper financial trouble.

Its tax base will be shattered.

The state’s share of Medicaid costs, which have spiraled from $22 billion in 2021 to $36 billion in 2023, is budgeted to increase by only $900 million. However, estimated costs in recent budgets have consistently been wrong. And there is no reason to think that this budget year will be any different. Cost overruns will further exacerbate the structural deficit. (To cover themselves, Albany pols buried in the budget a new $4 billion tax on Managed Care Organization health insurance plans.)

There’s more bad budget news.

The resurrection of the 421-a tax break, that incentivizes the construction of new apartment rentals, is a shadow of its former self.

To keep that item in the budget, the governor surrendered to the radical leftists in her party.

The new program has two flaws that will be construction project killers.

First, it significantly lowers the income threshold for eligible tenants of “affordable” apartments in any new development. This policy will make it more difficult for new housing projects to be profitable.

Next, according to Two Trees Management, a major apartment building developer, the program imposes “certain wages that are consistently higher than the past, whether with union or non-union labor.” Newsday, stating the program increases wages and benefits to be at least $40 per hour, called it a “boon for unions.”

Real estate journalist Steve Cuozzo at the Post has reported “that the misbegotten measure has killed plans for River Ring, a $1 billion four-acre complex on Brooklyn’s East River Waterfront” that was to be built by developer Two Trees management.

The budget’s “Squatter” law is more hype than substance.

The Empire Center’s Cam Macdonald, in an analysis titled “A Squatter ‘Fix’ That May Fix Squat,” concluded, “The new provision that makes it certain in statute that squatters are not tenants may reduce confusion about the rights of persons who occupy property for more than 30 days. And such clarification may give property owners greater confidence to enlist assistance from police in self-help evictions, but it didn’t change the rights they already had prior to this month.”

In other words, Macdonald wrote, “property owners unwilling or unable to use self-help must endure the same expenses and delays in eviction proceedings that a clearer definition of squatting does not help.”

So, despite all the claims by Hochul and her legislative confreres that they passed a responsible budget, it appears it is another “smoke and mirrors” plan that panders to special interests while increasing spending, taxes, and pork.