Archive for November 2023

GOP Must Reach Out to Blue-Collar, Middle-Class Minorities – By George J. Marlin

November 20, 2023

This article I wrote appeared on the Newsmax.com web site on Monday, November 20, 2023.

New York Still in Economic Decline – By George J. Marlin

November 14, 2023

The following appeared on Monday, November 13, 2023, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

For years, Progressives have insisted that the rich, particularly Wall Street finance and insurance moguls, would never leave the state regardless of how high tax rates were pushed or the number of regulations imposed on business.

Why?

Because the Big Apple is the nation’s leading financial and cultural hub.

At the present time, it is true that the finance and insurance sectors are the largest portion of New York’s gross domestic product. In 2022, the GDP totaled 16%, or $327 billion. The employees of those two industries are the state’s highest earners. The average income per employee is around $275,000 annually, while the average income of all New Yorkers is approximately $51,000.

But a study released by the New York Business Council refutes Progressive claims.  It determined that the state has been losing wealthy citizens annually, especially Wall Street taxpayers.

“The Report,” the Business Council noted, “emphasizes what we have known all along—bad fiscal and business practices in New York State equate to losing people and jobs.”

And it went on to say: “Those policies are continuing to hurt the [financial and insurance] sectors today as jobs and people leave for a lower tax, lower cost of living states.”

Here’s the report’s key data:

  • In 2021 New York lost $9.8 billion of income to Florida.
  • Over the past three years, $933 billion in investment assets moved to other states.
  • New York is outranked in financial sector growth at 0.2%, lagging behind the 4% national average, while Idaho, North Carolina, and Texas have each seen double-digit growth.

The number of New York taxpayers has also been declining since 2012. In 2021, for example, the state “lost more taxpayers to every other state then it gained from those states.” And guess what? The largest net loss was to Florida, where there is no state income tax or inheritance tax.

As for migration trends, the net migration income in most New York municipalities has been declining every year since 2012.

In other words, higher-income folks who have moved to other states have been replaced by low-income earners.

“Reviewing the net migration of income shows that the largest gross income losses were from New York County at almost $11 billion,” the report said. “The data confirms the flight of the wealthiest from the New York City area.”

The average taxpayer who moved into Manhattan is earning approximately $74,000 less than the wealthier taxpayer who moved out.

Another study released in mid-October by the Tax Foundation confirms the Business Council’s argument that the moving force for the flight of New York’s wealthiest is the overall business climate.

New York came in next to last in the Tax Foundation’s ranking of state business tax climate. New Jersey is the only state that fared worse.

“The truth came into focus,” The Wall Street Journal reported “when the Tax Foundation released its annual ranking of state business tax climate, and there’s a yawning gap between the winners and losers. The best performers ease commerce by foregoing major taxes. The worst stack up punishing rates, making new business much more difficult and costly.”

Other bad news: A University of Toronto analysis revealed that New York City business recovery from COVID continues to lag the nation. The amount of foot traffic in the city’s business district is down 33% compared to pre-COVID statistics.

New York City came in 54th place out of the 66 cities the report surveyed. In contrast, Miami is down only 8%, Atlanta 15%, and Los Angeles is off by 17% in foot traffic.

After reviewing the findings, Catherine Wylde, CEO of the Partnership for the City of New York, told the New York Post, “A lot of our pre-COVID foot traffic involved tourists, and international tourism is still down. We also have by far the densest concentration of office workers, so the hybrid work week has had a big impact here, with average weekly presence in the office [having] dropped from 80% pre-pandemic to just under 60% today.”

Less traffic translates into less consumer spending, declining sales and hotel occupancy tax revenues.

If New York’s elected officials fail to address the state’s tax burden, business climate, cost of living and crime, the state’s motto Excelsior— “Forever Upward” will become Semper Deorsum—“Ever Downward.”

New York’s Economic Development Mess – By George J. Marlin

November 5, 2023

The following appeared on Friday, October 27, 2023, in the Blank Slate Media newspaper chain and on its website, theisland360.com:

Last week I read a disturbing report, “Increasing the Transparency and Accounting of Empire State Development,” issued in July by the fiscal think-tank, Reinvent Albany.

Here’s the study’s finding in a nutshell: “ESD is among the state authorities and agencies most vulnerable to corruption, pay-to-play, and political abuse.

ESD has an amorphous mission that reduces its public accountability, and the board and senior management are completely controlled by the governor and show very few signs of acting independently.

ESD, by design, engages in massive, secretive, sole-source deals totally at odds with basic principles of government spending and procurement that emphasize transparency and competitive bidding.”

Not exactly a ringing endorsement.

For those not familiar with the state’s ESD, here is a little historic background. Back in the 1990s, Gov. George Pataki consolidated a number of state agencies and public authorities under one umbrella called ESD.

These subsidiary organizations include the Department of Economic Development, the Job Development Authority, and the biggest of all, the Urban Development Corporation, a.k.a. the Empire State Development Corporation.

The UDC leviathan has more than 50 active and inactive subsidiaries and more than 40 housing project-related corporations.

Pataki publicly proclaimed that he founded this agglomeration in the name of “efficiency.”

But the reality is that it gave the governor huge power to distribute state subsidies to favored corporations. Since inception, ESD has served business interests before it served the public interests.

A governor rules ESD with an iron fist. Gov. Hochul appoints most of the board members to the various boards—many of them political cronies or contributors.

The governor also “hires and fires the person who is the combined CEO and president of the UDC; … the president, CEO and chair of the Job Development Authority, and the commissioner of the Department of Economic Development. This person also serves as an ex-officio member of the ESD board and has the ability to hire and fire ESD staff …. The board of directors cannot fire the president and CEO of UDC.”

In effect, ESD officers serve at the pleasure of the governor and, as you might guess, they follow the governor’s orders on grants, irrespective of project merits.

As for the board of directors, they act as rubber stamps. “Projects,” the Reinvent Albany report points out, “are initiated by the governor’s office and presented to the board for a perfunctory and performative vote.”

ESD keeps most of the information about projects under cover. They rarely disclose the amount of grants, cost per job, feasibility studies, or evaluations of the progress and success, or failure of projects.

The criteria for supporting a given project is not spelled out or released for public review. It also “engages in sole-source bidding, a non-competitive purchasing process that favors a particular company.”

At the end of 2021, ESD reported it had invested in 4,717 loan, grant and tax benefit projects. Taxpayer dollars expended on the programs, many of which have failed (i.e.: the “Buffalo Billion” deal with Tesla) are in the billions of dollars.

In October 2022, for example, Gov. Hochul and Senator Schumer announced to much fanfare, a deal with Micron to build four chip plants. Subsidies offered to the company total a staggering $5.5 billion.

When the state and Micron were pushed by fiscal watchdogs to explain the methodology for the grant, Reinvent Albany noted, the REMI Inc. study on the economic and fiscal impact ESD provided, “was a post-hoc rationalization for the terms already agreed to buy the aforementioned mention parties.”

As for corruption, readers may recall that two ESD programs have been the subject of federal corruption trials that convicted two of Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s former associates.

The Reinvent Albany report concluded that “the governor and legislature use ESD to oversee misguided and discredited programs and projects they manufacture and … do very little to ensure agency success and effectiveness.”

Quite a mess.

Do you think Albany will do anything about the lack of public accountability?

Don’t hold your breath.